tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6661563796573826422024-02-06T21:10:54.357-05:00A thousand miles, less than a million VPPs, & some CoffeeJavahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12756069591699620095noreply@blogger.comBlogger31125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-666156379657382642.post-53608060473223030862010-01-20T16:19:00.006-05:002010-01-20T21:08:33.188-05:00Rushaments"If Hyper-Turbos are the crack of online poker & live NL cash = paint dry, then FullTilt's Rushpoker is mainlining pure essence o' Redbull with a Wagner paint gun."<br />- Not-so-Anonymous Live Donkey Rationalizationaments, Jan 2010<br /><br />PLO CrystalMeth edition just arrived on FTP, so far just $0.10-$0.25. <br /><br />Looks like Stars won't be offering anything like this soon, I hope they change their minds about this. Might have made the Elite run closer to doable.<br /><br /><br />So if anyone is wondering why I typically look like someone ready to poke out his own eyeballs when I play live, maybe stats from my online sesh today will help:<br /> - 4 tables of TAG Rush PLO play for just over an hour (VPIP = 20%)<br /> - 1,002 hands, raised pre-flop a moderate 113 times<br /> - Not a lot of play / action / decisions, only got to see 182 flops in the hour<br /> - Ran below expectation and only got AAxx 22 times. <br /><br />So yeah, I ran 10-15% below expectation for an hour, got Aces 22 times (which are kinda fun to play), and went to showdown 40 times.<br /><br />Not that it would take much longer playing live NL, you can expect to see Aces 22 times almost every time you put in a modest 7 1/2-day straight session without sleep! So there's that. <br /><br />Another fun way to look at the Live NL Play ThrillOMeter: if I play CrackamentRushPLO for 10 hours today, I'll see an average of 250 hands with Aces. If you play live holdem 40 hours/week for a year, you have nearly a coin flip shot at seeing that many AA preflop by the end of 2010, so that's pretty exciting too. Wheeeee!!!!!<br /><br /><br />Executive Summary:<br />I might like Rush poker more than live cash games.Javahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12756069591699620095noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-666156379657382642.post-65551929033655169132009-12-10T16:26:00.006-05:002009-12-10T16:40:34.312-05:00Warning: Whiny Content<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgojtAVLggKdLG4DJOMGgWH_uHEAQnuOx8rx0JCHG5pU3IO26c9lyUrqGEyZ8iE7zH1FuRKp4bZcC4F5Iii0IVyDy7fMZr4o7nhwLnwG5AcdOKYzVUmTzVTv79hY64TooTGAkXYgRrTyhQ/s1600-h/AhDecember.jpg"><img style="float:left; margin:0 10px 10px 0;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 400px; height: 195px;" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgojtAVLggKdLG4DJOMGgWH_uHEAQnuOx8rx0JCHG5pU3IO26c9lyUrqGEyZ8iE7zH1FuRKp4bZcC4F5Iii0IVyDy7fMZr4o7nhwLnwG5AcdOKYzVUmTzVTv79hY64TooTGAkXYgRrTyhQ/s400/AhDecember.jpg" border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5413722429308276178" /></a><br />Just trying to break even & run up VPPs to get this freaking Stars $2k bonus -> Nam-style flashbacks of my ill-fated SNE Run. Seriously, WTF?<br /><br />No more tourneys, no more poker-related email, no 2+2, no Cake Gold Stack fun, no poker anything except PokerStars cash game VPP grind until I get this albatross of a 200k VPP bonus off my ass.<br /><br />Oh, and SuperNova probably out for 2010. Why? Because fuck them and their 14-buyin below EV downticks in a week, that's why.Javahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12756069591699620095noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-666156379657382642.post-36344796508364009612009-10-30T17:15:00.023-04:002009-10-30T20:07:01.884-04:002009 in (way early) ReviewThis won't come as a surprise, but I haven't been updating the old blog anymore. More or less anything that requires regular effort uncomfortably stirs the embers of the jobament-phobia fires and therefore needs to just go away.<br /><br />But I figured I could fire the occasional barrel here to update anyone who might care about my poker life. I was reviewing Mr. PokerLog and decided it was a good semi-random time for an annual recap. So here we go:<br /><br />No surprise, but early 2009 not so good in the land of pokerz.<br /><br />- As of April 5th<br />Stucko about $1k after oh 400-ish hours of self-induced misery we'll sum up as the EliteTardNova chase from hell. Once again, what was I thinking?<br /><br /><br />- August / Sept 2009<br />In an uber-rare positive poker experience, Pat & I have a great online satellite run & win a bunch of $200, $300, and $500 seats for Stars WCOOP online donkament series. He also goes on a crazy good Cake donkament run and is firing me chop $ shells almost nightly.<br /><br />As of Sept 15th 9:30pm, we're now 8 1/2 months and close to 1,000 violent-head-rubbing, laptop-whacking, open palm-smacking hours into our poker year, and YTD win has reached the lofty number of an eye-popping $14k. Yee haw. We've reached an hourly earn rate that many of the non-management types at MickeyD's could envy.<br /><br />To add to the good times, after putting it off for only, oh, 2 or 3 months, I had just gone to lunch with an old consulting colleague to discuss possible work. Now I happen to like the guy a lot (he's actually fun hang with in or out of work, we used to have work days in his office filled with marathon sessions of games on his Mac followed by up outings to Kimball farms driving range). But I probably don't need to tell you just how giddy with joy I was before, during, and after that jobament-related outing. Ah the wistful day-dreaming about all the good work times, the glamour of business travel, the delicious discipline of getting up by 8am regularly, the delightful ambience of overhead flourescent lighting, not to mention the sheer tactile pleasure of donning dress pants & shoes with a crisp, snappy collared shirt (extra starch please!). Oh the longing for a full-time+ gig grinding out extra profit for some mega-corporation it stirs up in me even now. But I digress...<br /><br /><br />- Sept 15th about 9:45 pm.<br />With the ever-growing doom-filled sense that poker may be only a marginally less painful Evil vs. the possible jobament looming ever larger in my future, I'm not even playing online. However, I am sweating Pat in his $530 WCOOP Stud Hi/Lo donkament before bed. (Yeah, I was about to go to bed. You know poker's bad when I'm going to bed before 10pm).<br /><br />Splasher's arrrrrin with a ~6BB / 1,300 chip stack - he gets it in good & doubles up to 3k. Rinse & repeat 2 more arrrin's again over next orbit or two and nows he's pretty robusto. Well, we're swapping pieces and I love to sweat / cheerlead, so I decide to fire up a random tourney or two for something to do while I rail him.<br /><br />So I spark up FullTilt and there's a minute or two left in late reg for some random $20+2 Turbo donkament... fire! Splasher gets involved in a big pot, so I get distracted (shocker) and watch it unfold. Naturally, this being Stud Hi/Lo, it takes roughly 19 minutes for all 13 streets worth of queer min-bet action to unfold to the dramatic conclusion where 2 people inevitably chop up a split pot for a monster 2% increase in their stacks.<br /><br />By the time I notice the beeping and remember I had reg'd for a donkament, I look down to see that not only is this a Turbo, it's 6-max, I've been blinded out for over an orbit. Blinds = 50-100 (and about to go up, as they did every 5 minutes), my stack = 1,350 (vs avg of over 3k), oh and it turns out there 1000s of people left out of the 7,634 people who reg'd. Solid value for my 22 bucks, with me snuggled down in in the bottom 10% of the field. Well at least it'll likely be a quick painless Turbo death, as I notice I'm UTG with a medium Ace (AT or AJ I think), so shovey mcshove isacomin'.<br /><br />Fast forward through ~1 hour of Luckbox running in Harp mode to what what may be the most delicious poker karma I ever get to deliver:<br />With my uber-healthy stack (from over-the-top aggro-lagtard play, even for 6-max standards), I have 55 UTG with ~4x avg stack and almost 2x the biggest stack at the table who is in BB. I open-shove, and as it has been over and over, it's robo-folded around to BB. He tanks. He chirps "sooo... how do you know I don't have a s s e s", requests time, "hmmmmmmm.....", lets his clock tick all the way down to 3, types "hahahahaha", then calls for his whole stack, which is ~60% of mine.<br />He shows AA. Flop JJ5. My flopped boat holds up, stack is robusto, and the combo of his rant & the table chat is sick good. It flip-flops between his misspelled-obscenity-ridden description of how bad amylouwho/FullTilt riggaments are and the table laughing at him while reveling in the oh-so-tasty slow-roller karma.<br />I took pleasure in forwarding this sample to support (NSFW). Good times.<br /><br />Dealer: Hand #14725618297<br />sp0rt69 (Observer): AMY<br />sp0rt69 (Observer): BASTSARD<br />sp0rt69 (Observer): MOTEHR FUKER<br />sp0rt69 (Observer): I &@$ UR MOTHER<br />sp0rt69 (Observer): EVERY DAY<br />sp0rt69 (Observer): BASTARD<br />sp0rt69 (Observer): OK U ARE FROM AMERICA<br />sp0rt69 (Observer): AND FULLTILT <br />sp0rt69 (Observer): GIVES U SOME HANDS<br />sp0rt69 (Observer): BUT UR MOTHER<br />sp0rt69 (Observer): IS STILL BI...TCH<br />sp0rt69 (Observer): MOTHER FUKER<br />sp0rt69 (Observer): U THINKU ARE A GOOD PLAYER NOW<br />sp0rt69 (Observer): U ARE NOT<br />sp0rt69 (Observer): U ARE JUST AMERICAN<br />Dealer: Hand #14725634608<br />sp0rt69 (Observer): AND FULL TILT GIVES U ALL ALL INS<br />sp0rt69 (Observer): MOTHER FUKER<br />AmSlim22: dont slowroll<br />sp0rt69 (Observer): U WILL GET SOME MORE MONEY FROM ME<br />amylouwho: lol<br />sp0rt69 (Observer): BUT<br />sp0rt69 (Observer): WHATEVER<br />sp0rt69 (Observer): UR MOTHER<br />amylouwho: slowroll = baaaaad karma<br />sp0rt69 (Observer): IS BIT......CH<br />sp0rt69 (Observer): BASTARD<br />Dealer: Hand #14725646467<br />sp0rt69 (Observer): MOTHER FUKER:)<br />sp0rt69 (Observer): OHH<br />sp0rt69 (Observer): HOW DO U FEEL?<br />sp0rt69 (Observer): ITS OK..DONT CRY<br />sp0rt69 (Observer): UR MOTHER IS A B...TCH<br />p0rt69 (Observer): BUT......<br />sp0rt69 (Observer): AND UR FATHER GAY<br />sp0rt69 (Observer): BUT WHAT TO DO<br />Dealer: Hand #14725659293<br />sp0rt69 (Observer): KEEP PLAYING POKER<br />sp0rt69 (Observer): :)<br />sp0rt69 (Observer): AMYLOUWHO IS MOTHER FUKER<br />sp0rt69 (Observer): :))))))))))<br />sp0rt69 (Observer): AMYLOUWHO IS MOTEHR FUKERRRRRRRRRRRRRR<br />sp0rt69 (Observer): I @&@ HIS MOTHER<br />sp0rt69 (Observer): EVERY NIGHT;)<br />sp0rt69 (Observer): OHHH<br />sp0rt69 (Observer): SHE MAKES PERFECT BLOWJOBS<br />sp0rt69 (Observer): :)))))0<br />sp0rt69 (Observer): I LIKE ITTTTTTTTT<br />AmSlim22: sport we get it ur sad<br />sp0rt69 (Observer): SHE IS THE BEST<br />sp0rt69 (Observer): IM NOT SAD<br />sp0rt69 (Observer): :)<br />sp0rt69 (Observer): U ALL AMERICANS <br />Dealer: Hand #14725676268<br />sp0rt69 (Observer): STOLE ME<br />sp0rt69 (Observer): LIKE THAT<br />sp0rt69 (Observer): EVERY DAY:)<br />sp0rt69 (Observer): BUT ITS OK:) <br />sp0rt69 (Observer): I GET IT BACK FROM LIVE TOURNAMENTS+CASH GAMES<br />sp0rt69 (Observer): GET SOME HAPPINESS FROM FULLTILT<br />Dealer: Hand #14725684407<br />sp0rt69 (Observer): XAXAXAXAXA<br />sp0rt69 (Observer): U MOTHER FUKER <br />sp0rt69 (Observer): AMERICAN BASTARD<br />Dealer: AmSlim22 wins the pot (3,300)<br />amylouwho: say goodbye to your chat priveleges slowroller - this is getting reported to support<br /><br /><br />Feeling like the poker gods are smiling down on me, being handed a top 3 sized stack with hundreds left opened up doors to wander around and gleefully explore aggro-tard fantasy land. (I wish I had saved the stats, but my best guess is that I won a hand without showdown every 2 1/2 to 3 hands played, and my showdown luckbox win % was off the meter high)<br /><br />Anyway, fast forward another 1 - 1 1/2 hours to<br /><a href="http://www.pokerhand.org/?4697221">Hmmmmm, like the flop or turn much?</a><br />We chopped most of top 3 $s, with $2k left to play for, ship a short few hands to take it down for a final score $18.8k, followed by the most fun chop ship ever. There are few things more fun in poker than firing cash at friends for their choppo share after a solid score.<br /><br />Plus ship the custom FTP jersey with "amylouwho" on it, just like da Fuhrer in this video..<br /><a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ggZXXv5jEx8">Funny in a non-PC degen kinda way</a><br /><br />I'll admit it, I have this bookmarked in case I have another run like the first 8 1/2 months of this year:<br /><a href="http://www.fulltiltpoker.com/mini-full-tilt-online-poker-series/miniftops-xiii-results-15">Confidence booster link</a><br /><br /><br />End of October:<br />Sparked by the miniFTOPs score, the last 6 weeks have been a great run.<br /><br />Between Stars WCOOP cashes/chops, decent full ring PLO/PLO8/NLO8 cash results, Harp's insane online heater with large & frequent chop ship barrels, a nice Luckbox trip to the SuperNova freeroll final table for a $7,700 uptick, and the random railfanboys cheering me on to final tables in donkey stakes PLO8 donkaments, the poker $ roll & job satisfaction is high.<br /><br />I'm not sure which is the best part:<br />1) I'm back to looking forward to playing almost every day<br />2) Ship 2010! Between the last few night's steady luckbox/aggro production of deep runs in the nightly Stars PLO8 donkaments & a decent run in Cake rebuy Thursday night, I officially went over the hump to my goal for 2009 total win $s. Looks like another year of no jobament- woot!. <br /><br />F you, Frist. I win for another year.<br /><br />So to all the poker crew, I wanted to officially thank you for the support this year. It looked & felt mighty grim, and the end of my pro poker donk career seemed nigh, and you guys have been just great. Having people to ease the poker pain helped me slog my way through to the other side. I likely would've thrown in the towel without you all to vent to, get ideas from, talk strategy, all of it. Thanks.<a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ggZXXv5jEx8"></a>Javahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12756069591699620095noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-666156379657382642.post-65011431919711583192009-07-28T00:25:00.003-04:002009-07-28T00:38:17.269-04:00tossing a bucket of water onto the donkament heaterJust in case i was starting to feel a little too good about myself or how i'm playing, luckily I played like an unreal donk the last 2 nights to come back to mediocre-to-lameass-playing earth.<br /><br />- 3rd in chips out of 6 remaining in an uber-soft Cake satellite giving away 3 seats, decided to open-shove for 14BBs from the button with 43o. why, i cannot say, but I got what I deserved and busto.<br />- With a healthy above avg stack in Cake rebuy with 80/250 left, i check-raise shoved a button raiser on a QT4 board with 66 when I was pretty sure he had a decent hand Again, I don't know why, but justice was served and busto.<br />- I managed to get all my money in bad in PLO FTP donkament not 1 or 2x, but 3 by sucking out the 1st 2x before my suicide attempts finally worked.<br /><br />Poker gods were obv punishing me for the latest series of brag posts, so I'll go nack to noticing how much I usually suck & maybe the upticks will resume.<br /><br />Man was that fun to run like Harp in short-handed minbet for a week. I made more final tables over 7 days than I had all year.<br /><br />Maybe online donkaments + live cash are the new staples, I dunno.Javahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12756069591699620095noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-666156379657382642.post-12050524399425482842009-07-25T21:08:00.007-04:002009-07-28T00:24:33.083-04:00lol comebackamentsEmail #1 - me to Pat 4pm<br />(he had 20% of me in a $55 Cake bounty tourney that started at 3pm)<br /><br />seriously can i run any fking worse in these cake donkaments?<br /><br />here's the grossness<br /><a href="http://www.blogger.com/Cake%20hand"></a><a href="http://cakepoker.com/en/HandHistory/Default.aspx?Hand=xc3Hw8HMwcSwzcTExcXAxIjBwMzAwMI%3d"><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Cake hand link</span></a><br />(started hand with above avg stack 8,527 in chips, 4-bet squeezed a smooth caller with AQ, he snappo-called for 7k with KJo, and I ended the hand with 319 in chips with blinds at 50-100 & all ramped up for my tilty air shove for 3BBs)<br /><br /><br />I made a little comeback in that same tourney though...<br /><br />---------- Forwarded message ----------<br />Date: Sat, Jul 25, 2009 at 8:50 PM<br />Subject: Tournament Prize Detail<br />To: <a href="mailto:jaypoker@coskie.com" target="_blank">jaypoker@coskie.com</a><br />Congratulations Sloppo,<br />Out of 310 players in Tournament 5787865 ($15,000 GUARANTEED BOUNTY!!), you came in 3rd and have won $1,085.00.<br />Best wishes,<br />The Cake Poker Team<br /><br />nice sweat on coin flip for 350k pot (total of 900k in play in tourney)<br />Button opened for 40k, I 3-bet shoved with 66 into AdQd, flop 3 diamonds :( turn 6 : river brick, waah waah busto)<br /><br />That was sick, sick funJavahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12756069591699620095noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-666156379657382642.post-43503893611700410732009-07-24T16:08:00.008-04:002009-07-24T22:13:03.767-04:00Heater uptickYeah, Splasher's a lock for the Cake rebuy Hall of Fame.<br /><br />I have to say it does not suck to have friends who have entered some sort of Zen-like state of poker almost every night over an extended period, especially when they're generous enough to swap big pieces with you during the heater. Thanks, Pat- pressure's on now for me to make a deep run the WSOP ME with Horner at age 50 so I can fire a huge piece at you. I'll let him fill in details on his last run in his blog, but last night he put on a fun show.<br /><br />Here's a <a href="http://picasaweb.google.com/sloppycoskie/Poker#5362208369528520930">visual representation of our chops this week<br /><br /></a>On the pro front, the results are in - I blow chunks at live poker in virtually every form. Ship the live poker win rate for 2009 of, wait for it, $3.75/hour. Sadly / pathetically, this is a huge improvement from the negative rate a couple of months ago. Also I cannot for the life of me avoid playing and/or running like crap in every bubble situation I climb my way into on Cake.<br /><br />But apparently, if I swallow my ever-shrinking pro pride and plunge waaaaaaaay down into Donkey Stakes Land, it looks as though I crush the Omahaha-8 droolers. Think I'mam I running any good in my last dozen or so omahaha donkaments (at least the ones with buy-ins you can drum up shaking out in your couch cushions or returning SmarteCartes at the airport for 15 minutes) ?<br /><br />Date Tournament Game Buy in Entries Rank Prize<br />23 Jul 09 No Limit Omaha Hi/Lo OLNL $5.50+ 218 2 $665 (2-way choppo)<br />20 Jul 09 No Limit Omaha Hi/Lo OLNL $5.50+ 178 7 $139<br />19 Jul 09 No Limit Omaha Hi/Lo OLNL $5.50+ 62 24 $0<br />19 Jul 09 Pot Limit Omaha Hi/Lo OLPL $5.50+ 752 4 $812<br />19 Jul 09 No Limit Omaha Hi/Lo OLNL $5.50+ 276 14 $65<br />18 Jul 09 Pot Limit Omaha Hi/Lo OLPL $5.50+ 635 57 $25<br />13 Jun 09 No Limit Omaha Hi/Lo OLNL $5.50+ 120 17 $56<br />13 Jun 09 No Limit Omaha OHNL $5.50+ 54 3 $209<br />06 Jun 09 No Limit Omaha Hi/Lo OLNL $5.50+ 126 22 $0<br />17 May 09 No Limit Omaha OHNL $5.50+ 70 22 $0<br />14 May 09 No Limit Omaha OHNL $5.50+ 57 14 $0<br />08 May 09 No Limit Omaha OHNL $5.50+ 61 1 $459Javahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12756069591699620095noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-666156379657382642.post-73954435799097399842009-07-20T13:38:00.011-04:002009-07-20T16:13:11.039-04:00HeateramaIn today's beat the dead horse department, Cake <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_0">donkaments</span> are delicious. Pat has been absolutely crushing- cashing in 1/2 and hitting the final 1 or 2 tables a handful of times just this week. <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_1">Sloppo</span> & <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_2">theSplasher</span> vs. The <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_3">Droolers</span> $30 <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_4">rebuy</span> & bounty matches are playing nightly on Cake at 9 & 10pm, join in the <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_5">LAGtardic</span> fun.<br /><br />After a mind-numbingly scary month of nightmarish thoughts <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_6">ala</span> "<span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_7">ohmygodifidontstartwinningihavetoupdatemyresumeohgoditburnseshelphelphelp</span>", I went on a nice <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_8">donkament</span> bender-heater combo Sunday.<br /><br />Over 12 1/2 hours Amy's tiny laptop screen was filled with rotating tourney chaos. Some stats:<br />- <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_9">Donkaments</span>:20 (Cake - <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_10">NL</span>, <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_11">FullTilt</span> - PLO, <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_12">PokerStars</span> - PLO8, <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_13">Bodog</span> - <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_14">NL</span>)<br />- Plates of food + cups of coffee delivered to couch or counter by my folks: double digits (I think I owe my Mom a cut for the poker-friendly environment)<br />- Breaks over 10 seconds long: 0 (<span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_15">donkaments</span> don't really care how many cups of coffee you had, ship the constant laptop companion in the bathroom)<br />- Cashes: 7, Final Tables: 4, $s: +$2,400 <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_16">woohoo</span>!<br /><br /><br /><span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_17">DonkaQuiz</span><br /><br />1) Play along at home & test your Hellmuth factor<br /><br />FTP, final 3 of PLO/8 tourney...<br /><br />1st = $2,000<br />2<span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_18">nd</span> = $1,300<br />3rd = $1,000<br /><br />Villain who bets turn is pretty decent, but could show up with a lot of hands other than nuts/set<br /><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><br /></span>a) So what's your turn play, call or fold?<br />This assumes the best play is not available (i.e., go back in time to stop yourself from stuffing in chips with air on the flop).<br /><a href="http://www.pokerhand.org/?4490681" target="_blank">http://www.pokerhand.org/?<wbr>4490681</a><br /><br />For those of you who are on some Big Brother at Work server and can't see poker stuff, Villain bet enough to put us all in on turn & we have between 11 to 15 nut outs, plus 6 more cards that improve our hand & could possibly win.<br /><br />b) OK, let's pretend you somehow knew Villain holds T987 for one lame-ass pair plus a semi-wrap and 2 diamond blockers, now what do you do?<br /><br />Turns out it doesn't matter at all what you do as far as EV goes, even with 19/40 cards on turn to win and take huge chip lead or 21/40 to bust out in 3rd.<br /><br />When you stuff the payouts & chip stacks into <a href="http://www.icmpoker.com/Calculator.aspx">this <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_19">ICM</span> calculator:</a><br />EV of Tourney Equity if fold: $1,355<br />EV of call if win (~48%) $1,760 + $1,000 payday if lose (52%) = EV of call $1,351<br /><br />c) Now that you know you'd be paying $4 to participate in a $750 coin flip vs roughly comparably skilled opponents, would you fold or call? (Although Villain did call a flop pot-sized bet with ten high and a draw to a draw, wtf? How did I lose to this donk?)<br /><br />Basically I think this question tests whether you're Phil HellMouth and would fold a draw with correct / 0 EV odds to dodge variance & play it out OR would you decide to leave it up to the gambool poker gods?<br /><br />Shocker, but I tanked then did the Blackjack dealer clap-<span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_20">handwave</span> combo, embraced the variance, & stuffed it in. I'd like to believe I called thinking it was a solid +$EV play but um, yeah, that's pretty much delusional. More like ship the wonkin' coin flip wheeeee....<br /><br /><br />2) Who's the bigger <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_21">spewMonkey</span>, me or Villain?<br /><a href="http://cakepoker.com/en/HandHistory/Default.aspx?Hand=xc3HxsHMwczCx8TExMbDwYjBwMzAwMI%3d"><span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_22">CakeSpewHand</span></a>Javahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12756069591699620095noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-666156379657382642.post-24922205562427844802009-06-25T21:33:00.006-04:002009-06-25T21:55:43.432-04:00LAGtard amylouwho, extra slices o' cakeMy budding donkament prodigy wife Amylouwho took down the nooner at Mohegan today to bring home a stake for me to bring to AC tomorrow (about $1k) - woohoo!<br /><br />I haven't gotten the full debrief yet, but based on early reports, it sounded like it was a giant non-stop pile of her grabbing free chips with naked aggression, with lots of grumpy people folding like beaten dogs and muttering about how many good hands she keeps hitting. I guess they look at her chips firing over & over, glance at her tidy little outfit & hand sanitizer and get a-scared she must have a hand every time (she didn't).<br /><br />Oh Barney Frank, pave the way for Charlotte to win her college tuition at Harrah's Online Poker Emporium between baby-sitting jobs, she's got some gambool gene potential.<br /><br />PSA - Cake tourney overlays have gotten pretty ridiculously good.<br /><br />Since Lee Jones joined, they have shortened the late registration times but kept the same guarantees (at least for now). Satellites into these things are still way soft (both cash & gold card). As a benchmark, I'd say probably 2x the softness with way more people utterly clueless about bubble strategy vs. the FTP 1800 point 1-table SNGs for $26 tokens.<br /><br />2 examples from tonight:<br />- $20k gtee with $100 buy-in -> 152 people = $5k overlay ($30 per entrant)<br />- $25k gtee $30 w/ R&A -> just 232 <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_0">buyins</span>, 250 <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_1">rebuys</span> with 180 left just before break, so likely a nice overlay there tooJavahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12756069591699620095noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-666156379657382642.post-43941219164410162902009-06-23T03:07:00.019-04:002009-06-23T04:19:36.956-04:00Marathon Session trip reportWell it turns out I'm not the only one reading the occasional short bust of blog production, so here's a blow-by-blow of a grind it out session from tonight...<br /><br />As midnight rolls around, I've fired up ESPN, surfed 2+2, and lined up the remote-beverage-snack combo, and start thinking I'd better oh I don't know, play some poker today<br /><br />Sit right in with $100 at only open seat on $2-$4 Bodog PLO table & post in cutoff. (Yup, I know, Sloppo = short stack weenie buyin boy. I usually top off after a lap or two, I'm not really that soft.)<br /><br /><span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_0">Kd</span> <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_1">Jc</span> 9c 6d, five <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_2">limpers</span> to me (yup, 5 of em), I check, button & SB calls, all is right with the world.<br />Big Blind ruins the party by bumping it up $12 - <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_3">callcallcallcallcall</span>, I mutter jackass but I call so just 7 or 8 of us nits see the flop<br />Satan's lives! 6 6 6<br />Guy to my right <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_4">insta</span>-fires for $40, and despite being uneasy about my dream Number of the Beast flop, I decide I shouldn't to make the big (but questionable) <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_5">laydown</span> with my quads and I call. The oh-so-generous BB not only <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_6">overcalls</span> the flop but sweet sassy <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_8">molassy</span> even my tank-then-not-shove-the-river bet of $36 too (yup, I did the <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_9">uber</span>-ridiculous <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_10">AdamLambertesque</span> "oh I'm so weak, see look I'm leaving $10 behind because I'm afraid you have quads and I don't" tank-bet drama, but hey, it worked).<br /><br />As the BB starts blinking and I start bouncing up & down chanting rhythmically "call call call" I notice that the turn & river of 2c & 3c actually made a straight flush possible. But no, this is not a trip report of the most Evil slowroll in history, so ship the strong call with QQ to the BB & the 3-hundo pot to me.<br /><br />I immediately wonder if it's gonna get any damn better than that for a session, as in ever. Seriously, who am I to ruin a win rate of over $10k or maybe $100k+ per hour? Poker gods/demons threw me a bone here and all. So I <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_11">insta</span>-sit out with a nice little $200-something uptick after 90 seconds of work (yeah, it's a grind), spark up another drink & ESPN360.com to watch live streaming of Barry <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_12">Greenstein</span> playing the $10k PLO event for a couple of hours. (OK, I did collect my free <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_13">Sklansky</span> bucks and play around to my Big Blind. But hey, I'm a serious, disciplined and dedicated professional, here.)<br /><br />I've had worse days as a pro than this I think.Javahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12756069591699620095noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-666156379657382642.post-42603020166696600712009-06-21T02:09:00.005-04:002009-06-21T02:19:25.959-04:00poker karma awolA couple o' good beats:<br /> - trusty iPhone has now survived its trips to the toilet and the bottom of my water glass A-OK<br /> - up to 451 miles as of 1st day of summer<br /> - just finished 2nd in PLO donkament for just under $1k<br /><br />Here's where poker karma gods screwed the pooch, with chip leader in this hand being A #1 Tool<br />Pretty surprised to see my pair o' 2's was good on turn here...<br /><a href="http://www.pokerhand.org/?4386212">oops</a><br /><br />donkament winner then typed "LOLOLOLOL you fell into that like the cheap hooker you are with your skirt all hiked up"<br />nice<br />ah where was the karma?<br />pretty psyched about the score tho, since Father's Day will now be a guilt-free day of noooooooooo pokerJavahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12756069591699620095noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-666156379657382642.post-49299586889721007142009-05-15T16:09:00.005-04:002009-05-15T16:45:21.937-04:00A Variance HaikuAh, the Slop he thought<br />"Ship me half a huge split pot?"<br />But Cake, it did not...<br /><a href="http://cakepoker.com/en/HandHistory/Default.aspx?Hand=xczCwsTFxsfCzMTExMXNwYjBwMzAwMI%3d">It's a comin'</a><br /><br /><br />Amylouwho, may all you flops be as tasty as<br /><a href="http://cakepoker.com/en/HandHistory/Default.aspx?Hand=xczCwsTFxsfDwsTExcbNzYjBwMzAwMI%3d">THIS</a>Javahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12756069591699620095noreply@blogger.com3tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-666156379657382642.post-88394881218327760082009-05-14T03:51:00.003-04:002009-05-14T03:56:25.974-04:00Donktastic finish to $5 donkamentI did play better than this for the 1st 5 hours, really I did<br /><br /><a href="http://www.pokerhand.org/?4231991"><span style="text-decoration: underline;">I'm a comin' :)<br /></span></a>Javahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12756069591699620095noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-666156379657382642.post-69773171794087537182009-05-13T03:15:00.007-04:002009-05-13T04:30:29.475-04:00Sloppy Poker 2009 Part 2 Update (aka Escape from Stars Hell)My less exciting, lounge and diamond-card-free update follows...<br /><br /><span style="font-size:130%;"><span style="font-weight: bold;">Summary for the rushed and/or not-so-interested</span></span><br />Post-PokerStars Elite grindy life is better. You know, with less painful angst and non-stop losing and stuff. Non-Stars hourly win rate actually not too far off my 2008 rate -> glimmers of hope for no jobamant (please oh please let the Saving Heater find me)<br /><br />Oh, YTD mileage = 350<br />Hey! Mr Math just gave me some great news related to my mileage tally folks! If someone gave me just $2 into my PokerStars account for every mile I've logged, I'd be up nearly 7 bucks there for the year! Wow, not too shabby. And some of you thought 20-tabling against regulars might not be a good idea. Ha!<br /><br /><br /><span style="font-size:130%;"><span style="font-weight: bold;"> lol donkaments</span><br /></span><br />Just bounced out 5th in Cake $33 rebuy for $1,500 as of 2:45am Wed. I think I agree with Mark's comments after he busto'd 6th for $1,600 - 1st and $1,000s more might have been a smidge more satisfying. Yeah, I'd say self-destructing this late after chugging 4 cups of uber-strong coffee then some tea on top to stay sharp is less than optimal.<br /><br />Here's a link to my stupid? unlucky? brain-dead / cursed? gambool from SB. (Backdrop: I was tied for shortstack with 12% of chips in play, and BB had raised ~50-75% of hands pre-flop since we got to 6-or-7-handed including shoving on me from BB once or twice. FWIW my image was likely pretty weak-tight-nitty from a combo of being card dead at FT & working up payday ladder without seeing too many floppos.)<br /><br /><a href="http://cakepoker.com/en/HandHistory/Default.aspx?Hand=xczCwMCyxrKxxsTExszAxojBwMzAwMI%3d">OOOOOOOOPS</a><br /><br />To be fair, even though I'm sad / hating myself for the bust-out hand, any cash I got above $167 was pure LuckBox-flavored gravy since I got ~98% of my stack in oh-so-bad with QQ vs Villain's KK but (Imacomin!) hit 2-outer on flop to survive and dodge finishing ~30th . Also moving up to 4th was worth $500, I was trying to keep my eye on the $5k pop for 1st more than 1 more notch up. Like Vanessa Rousso says, I made the Agressive Call here.<br /><br />Over/under on how long after I wake up & how many times I see visions of that sweet hand replaying in my brain tomorrow? How's 3 1/2 seconds and 27. (Pssst, parlay the under then the over for the W.)<br /><br />Also, nice job by me failing to bet on the Celtics 2 games in a row to avoid winning $s from dramatic 4th quarter comebacks. nh,wp,tlaHRm (nicehand, wellplayed, thatslameassHomerRollmanagement)<br /><span style="font-size:130%;"><br /><br /><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;"> PokerStars - FPP->$s</span></span><br />For May, 3 FPP -> cash items in VIP store at max value. 500 FPPs->$8, 1k FPPs -> $16, 16k->$160. Nice ways to continue to empty the Stars FPP vault and reduce the pain.<br /><br />I look at my Jan-March log and feel sad, confused & more than a little <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_0">brain dead</span> when I ponder the 952 hours played averaging 18 tables there as a not-quite-<span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_1">break even</span>-after-<wbr><span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_2">rakeback</span>-added "pro". Good times.<br /><br /><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;font-size:130%;" ><br /><span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_3">FullTilt</span> - Ah sweet, sweet cash</span><br />Western Union added as a Withdrawal option. Trip report: 2 <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_4">cash outs</span> for $200 each, 36-72 hour turnaround, Amy picked up cash no <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_5">problemo</span> at a <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_6">RiteAid</span> spot 2 miles from our house. (The only problem is the stress of worrying I might forget to declare cash withdrawals next April. I'm losing sleep nights.)<br /><br />PLO Games are so-so mostly with some bright spots, but better than Stars I think.<br /><br />I dipped my toe into <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_7">Fullring</span> <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_8">NL</span> some more there. Kind of sort of a little bit fun I guess, probably because I ran better than I played. I did uptick a couple of <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_9">buyins</span> but <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_10">obv</span>iously more important: ship the <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_11">FullTilt</span> Academy <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_12">points tally upticks (FTPA points, now with new Warm Tingly sensation of Achievement flavored with pennies of value!)</span><br /><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;font-size:130%;" ><br /><br />Cake - good karma in my 2<span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_13">nd</span> go-round there</span><br />Randomly noticed quite a few overlays for guaranteed prize pool <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_14">donkaments</span> (e.g., $30 <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_15">rebuy</span> $25k guarantee had ~700 <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_16">buyins</span>)<br /><br />What's cooler <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_17">than</span> cash <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_18">flipaments</span>? Cake Kamikaze <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_19">donkaments</span> - everyone forced all in every hand, most fun way to spend 60 seconds online I can think of. I have a pro-like ROI in them so far - "Out of 143 players in Tournament 5196544 ($3 - Kamikaze Tournament!), you came in 8<span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_20">th</span> and have won $15.44"<br /><br />PLO, PLO/8 <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_21">NLO</span>/8 games are a bit sparse, but occasionally nice & juicy. My playing style has ranged by the hour (& beat) from <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_22">NITtyMcNit</span> to <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_23">LAGSpewTard</span>, but I've run up my $110 <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_24">rakeback</span> payment I used to seed the account up to ~$450 in May while generating $160 more in <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_25">rakeback</span> due June 1st.<br /><br />Emailed Cake I had server problem after raising to $6 <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_26">preflop</span> (brace yourself, I was playing $3-$6 <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_27">minbet</span> O/8), called $3 dark <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_28">postflop</span> because a Cake server message blocked the flop on me, then got booted from table on turn.<br />Obviously I expected <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_29">FullTilt</span> style response plan 1) After a random amount of time, receive "we got your email" stock reply 2) 2-3 days of radio silence 3) Copy & paste email saying something relevant like "Your Iron Man points were <span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_30">correctly</span> credited for play in June 2007. Please visit <a href="http://www.fulltiltpokeracademy.com/" target="_blank">www.fulltiltpokeracademy.com</a> for details, or refer a friend and receive $50!" Got a response from Cake in 30 minutes saying "we didn't detect any server problems, but we credited you $18 for the inconvenience."<br /><span style="font-size:130%;"><br /><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;"><span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_31">Bodog</span> - Overlays, occasional juicy juicy </span></span><br />Noticed some overlays in Guaranteed prize pools here too.<br /><br />PLO games sometimes <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_32">uber</span>-TAG (30% <20bb class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_33">oooooooooh <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_34">PartyPoker</span> <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_35">pre</span>-<span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_36">UIGEA</span> PLO / PLO8 games with 50-60% flops and 50-100BB avg pots. If <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_37">dubhead</span> or <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_38">blaz</span>1992 is<br />playing, have a seat. Seriously.<br /><br /><span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_39">Rakeback</span> available, and you can use <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_40">Bodog</span> Poker Points to play in <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_41">SNGs</span> to get T$s.<br /><br /><span style="font-size:130%;"><br /><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Absolute - <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_42">wha</span>?</span></span><br />I know what you're thinking.... "<span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_43">Cereously</span>? Absolute?" <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_44">Cereus</span> network puns are fun.<br />Anyway, I fired $70 in <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_45">rakeback</span> payment to re-seed account. Pretty sure most of the 2+2 / multi-tabling TAG-pro crowd is gone from there, so I may just see how games are.<br /><br />In all <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_46">Cereusness</span>, I know the track record there and <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_47">UB</span> is <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_48">uber</span>-shady. but I think for any online site, being concerned / paranoid that<br />1) we might be cheated<br />2) we might or have our accounts hacked<br />3) the <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_49">Kewanakeekookoo</span> gaming commission is useless / corrupt<br />4) they might never pay us<br />is just part of an EV calculation.<br />If a site is populated with cheaters and/or bots but I'm winning, then <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_50">meh</span>.<br /><br /><br /><span style="font-size:130%;"><span style="font-weight: bold;">Reward for the dedicated, unemployed or bored at work who made it this far<br /><a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iPnQ77a1UVk"><br /></a></span></span><a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iPnQ77a1UVk"><span style="font-size:100%;">NSFW but if you've seen Silence of the Lambs, you'll either laugh hard or think I'm a sick puppy for finding this funny. Worth clicking, really.</span></a>Javahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12756069591699620095noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-666156379657382642.post-61793145890149839942009-04-24T01:39:00.005-04:002009-04-24T01:44:58.302-04:00Donkey call<a href="http://www.pokerhand.org/?4151144">Hee-haw, hee-haw!</a>Javahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12756069591699620095noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-666156379657382642.post-58463118961080879932009-04-09T22:40:00.003-04:002009-04-09T22:48:39.705-04:00For the Welcome Back Suckouts......we play at Full Tilt Poker<br /><a href="http://www.pokerhand.org/?4092197">aaaaah this felt nice</a><br />(good thing you smooth called the flop and checked the turn, sir. wpnh)<br /><br /><a href="http://www.bodoglife.com/en/sportsbook/promotions/bet-against-the-lakers.html">Link to Bodog bet against the Lakers promo</a><br />Ship the $50 action on Celtics to win $175 with refund if Lakers win- anyone want a piece?Javahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12756069591699620095noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-666156379657382642.post-26997021256043148782009-04-07T03:18:00.007-04:002009-04-07T04:02:57.383-04:00Degree All In Moment5 1/2 hours into Stars $70k rebuy donkament<br />14th / 43 left, 1st = $12k, 43rd = $132, anything below final 2 tables = crapola $s<br /><br />Table LAGtard raises for 9,433rd time in last 2 orbits, so ship my first all-in to go to showdown...<br />Somehow I think cosmic justice was probably served here<br /><a href="http://www.pokerhand.org/?4080085">Click here to witness as Jay grows tired of LAGtard stealing his thunder and </a><a href="http://www.pokerhand.org/?4080085">goes wacko</a><a href="http://www.pokerhand.org/?4080085"><br /></a><br />Save us Tony G...<br /><a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rtE5Hx740Pc">http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rtE5Hx740Pc</a>Javahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12756069591699620095noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-666156379657382642.post-36549648596250431392009-04-05T09:22:00.005-04:002009-04-05T09:32:10.948-04:00I try to get out, but they keep sucking me back in....All those NittyMcNitNovaEliteGrinderProLifeVampires slowly draining the soul and bankroll out of me at Stars can go suck it, I'm on Stars cash game sabbatical for a while.<br />FTP's $600 bonus bribe worked - fired $600 on today using eChecks so I'm back on Tilt for a bit.<br /><br />Good times at Mohegan yesterday The life of a VideoPoker semi-pro is a good one.<br /><br />Pat, not trying to torture you here, but maybe you can borrow a quiet FTP account for a while or fire up one in your Mom's to play in these miniFTOPs? I can also see you & I getting addicted to accruing Academy points.<br /><br />1) Have any of you guys signed up to do any of these Academy challenges? Looks like their ridiculous, but basically a freeroll right?<br />http://academy.fulltiltpoker.com/challenges/<br /><br />2) Per FTPDoug on 2+2, FTP points can be used to buy some weekly donkaments & ALL miniFTOPS events 5/7-5/17<br /><br />I'm going to be splashing in lots o' these - anyone who wants to do some chops email me.<br /><br />http://www.fulltiltpoker.com/mini-full-tilt-online-poker-series/schedule<br /><br />$750K Guarantee ($216, Sundays at 18:00)<br />The Double Deuce ($22, Sundays at 16:22) - 4,400 pts<br />The Daily Dollars ($1 rebuy every day at 15:15, $1 freezeout every day at 20:15) - ship the donkey shoves for 200 pts<br /><br />3) I'll probably be qualifying & playing in the freerolls to win a WSOP ME seat.<br />Since I've failed to grab us a Palms Suite at 2010 via NovaElite, you guys are all freerolling for a piece of me when I win oneJavahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12756069591699620095noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-666156379657382642.post-22164223425724068262009-03-29T05:46:00.008-04:002009-03-29T06:15:05.534-04:00Good beat for a change - Jayco is dead, long live amylouhooApparently my Jayco account being Doomswitched was the only real problem.<br />I guess I should have made NovaElite run as Amylouhoo since that account's LuckBox is not old, tired, and cranky.<br /><br />Sustainable ROI?<br /><a href="http://www.officialpokerrankings.com/pokerstars/amylouhoo/poker/results/3AE20711021646B593D8E7B448954B97.html?t=2">amyloohoo SuperGodMode account stats</a><br />(If yes, life will be good)<br /><br />Oh, and check the time stamp. Now I remember why I stopped playing $10 donkaments that start after 11pm. So sleepy.<br /><br />Brag #2:<br />My wife gets some pretty epic birthday presents from the Slop. You can expect to see Amy sporting a snazzy new Snuggie in our next home game. You know, come to think of it, I have never failed to crush a donkament when wrapped up in a Snuggie. Hmmm... think the Rio allows them during the WSOP ME? (I'm sure Foxwoods has banned them as a combo fire hazard / electronic cheating device.)<br /><br /><span style=";font-family:Tahoma;font-size:85%;" ><b><span style="font-weight: bold;">From:</span></b> PokerStars Support <<a href="mailto:support@pokerstars.com" target="_blank">support@pokerstars.com</a>><br /><b><span style="font-weight: bold;">Sent:</span></b> Sunday, March 29, 2009 5:35:24 AM<br /><b><span style="font-weight: bold;">Subject:</span></b> Results for PokerStars Tournament 149950348<br /></span><br />PokerStars Tournament #149950348, Pot Limit Omaha<br />Buy-In: $10.00/$1.00<br />162 players<br />Total Prize Pool: $3360.00<br />Tournament started 2009/03/28 23:15:00 ET<br /><br /><br />Dear amylouhoo,<br /><br />You finished the tournament in 1st place. A $772.80 award has been credited to your Real Money account.<br /><br /><span>You earned 255.92 tournament leader points in this tournament. For information about our tournament leader board, see our web site at <a href="http://www.pokerstars.com/poker/tournaments/leader-board/" target="_blank">http://www.pokerstars.com/<wbr>poker/tournaments/leader-<wbr>board/</a></span><br /><br /><br />Congratulations!<br /><br />Thank you for participating.Javahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12756069591699620095noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-666156379657382642.post-56542287975629446362009-03-21T02:47:00.004-04:002009-03-21T11:47:01.052-04:00Just to make it official...Barring a miracle and/or sudden, massive softening of the Stars games, SNE chase for 2009 is officially Busto.<br /><br />I'm at 164k VPPs (75% of 220k to be on pace) and burned out struggling to mega-multitable / not-quite-break even in mediocre-at-best Stars games. After a few hours playing live PLO tonight at Mohegan, I'm going to go out on a limb and say the avg $0.25-$0.50 PLO player on Stars crushes tonights $1-$2 lineup, and except for one good player we ran into, $0.05-$0.10 PLO players would hold their own. Really. Live PLO & PLO8 = juicy. Ah, if only they'd spread double-board.<br /><br />On an up note, ship the lopsided deal for Mohegan donkament - 3-way chop today. What's that sir? Will I take $1,500 of the $4,900 prize monies as the shortest stack with oh maybe just maybe 20% of chips in play? Yes, yes, I think I will. Math is fun.Javahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12756069591699620095noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-666156379657382642.post-34495620602808845072009-03-10T14:58:00.002-04:002009-03-10T15:12:27.748-04:00Fat lady's clearing her throatFirst, the good news.<br /><br />After bottoming out a week or so ago stucko for the year over $2k (yes, this included all rakeback / FPPs, etc.), <a href="http://www.pokerhand.org/?3952828">this Happy Hand</a> helped spark a comback.<br /><br />Who's the Big Winner? Jay is!<br /><br />YTD Results (including FPPs):<br />+$14 WOOHOO!<br />156k VPPs (84% of pace)<br /><br />Now rather than dwell on the fact that I'd be up more $s if I had returned one 12oz can deposit per hour that I played poker, I am feeling damn good to be out of the Bad Place of being a net loser. <br /><br />But I think odds oI'm going to make SNE are low and dropping. I could make ~750k on my own I think, but unfortunately Harp's seen just how awful the 6-max lol-min-bet games are on Stars, so that's not a profitable or fun place for a Shill to grind out the VPPs. (Think 4 or 5 SNE grinder-TAG-pros per table).<br /><br />I can't say the PLO 6-max games are much better, and playing the # of tables I need to play to get the required 500 VPPs/hour, I'd be beating the game if it was rake-free, but sadly, it's not. <br /><br />So I'm playing basically every full-ring PLO game running from $100-to-$400-max available (ranges from 6 to 12), earning 250-400 VPPs/hour, and basically managing to break even. I think I may even be squeaking out a small edge, which combined with not running 23,739,456 std deviations below avg on all-in luck has created a few upticks lately.<br /><br />What this means barring some kind of intervention, revelation, or me sucking less at the pokerz is that a more realistic target is more like ~600-700k VPPs. I'll finish March and maybe 1/2 of April playing 100% on Stars. At some point I'll need to think if mixing in some Tilt, Cake, etc is more profitable. Maybe we can create Team Sloppy to McGuyver a brilliant solution using nothing but PT data, a minivan, 1 Dong cable, and a 5-hour drive to AC in April?Javahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12756069591699620095noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-666156379657382642.post-36153779791214893272009-02-15T05:48:00.006-05:002009-02-15T06:18:59.357-05:00Beat, Brag, or Variance?<a href="http://www.pokerhand.org/?3861312">Is this a good fold here?</a><br /><br />Yes, this is a trick question.<br />See if you can figure it out before hints...<br /><br /><br /><br />Hint #1: I nominate this particular fold as a potential new Champion Laydown which may supplant the one Harp & I witnessed on the Mohegan Tek tables.<br /><br />Summary of that Epic Fold was something along these lines:<br />4 people left in SNG, top 3 pay. Perhaps brain-damaged or possibly just very kind-hearted & generous woman with short stack of say T1,050 (avg = ~5k) antes & posts BB, but when the SB raises her an additional, wait for it, T50, she folds. Yes, she put in 95%+ of her stack in the BB then folded on the bubble.<br /><br />My fold, um, probably worse on a few levels.<br /><br /><br />Hint #2:<br />Would it be a good fold if someone walked by and dropped a bag of money filled with 1,100 $1 bills onto the table to go to the winner before the hand started? Because if it would still be a good fold when getting implied odds of >1,100-1 for that oh-so-precious dollar I decided not to invest, then yeah, it was a good fold.<br /><br />Hint #3:<br />Hand number might have ended in 000,000.<br /><br />Yup, I folded for $1 UTG in a milestone hand. Oooooooh how it burnses.<br />SuperNovas get $550 if they lose a milestone hand, $1,650 if they win it.<br />But only if they aren't mega-tabling and FREAKING NOTICE THE CHAT BOX.<br /><br />So yes, winning $550 was definitely way cool.<br />I will say I didn't reaaaaallllly enjoy it as much as I would have if I hadn't folded. The railbird chat was not kind.<br /><br />Now accepting nominees for name of folds for a buck getting over 1,000-1 odds (The MilliSlop?)<br /><br />I may feel a twinge when I wake up tomorrow and remember I clicked the Fold button.<br />On the other hand, ship the LuckBox activation maybe? Please?Javahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12756069591699620095noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-666156379657382642.post-65970775729276108552009-02-11T19:09:00.000-05:002009-02-11T19:15:49.050-05:00Stars 25B promo - robofoldo Sat anyone?Link:<br /><a href="http://www.pokerstars.com/poker/promotions/25-billion/">Stars page</a><br /><br />Summary:<br />- 25% reload bonus up to $250, clearing requirement = 20 VPPs / $1 bonus, 6 months to clear<br />- $s given away every 1M hands starting tonight (until Sat)<br />- $250,000 giveaway to 1 table for hand # 25,000,000,000<br /><br />Anyone interested in doing the robofold thing again? Prize would be bigger than 10B promo - $250k chopped 6 ways if we hit. <br /><br />No real clue on our chances, but if I had to SWAG it I'd say odds of hitting would be somewhere from 200-1 to 2,000-1. I'll try to better estimate our chances if it looks like we might be able to get 6 people together again.Javahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12756069591699620095noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-666156379657382642.post-68428261879684106012009-02-11T02:28:00.000-05:002009-02-11T17:12:45.065-05:00hit supernova todayyeehaw.<br />feel the excitement.<br /><br />First, the grim stats update:<br /><br />A sick bone-crushing the 1st week of February brought my YTD results to below $0. Yup, that does includes the FPPs. Ship the losing Pro.<br />YTD total = -$313<br />FPPs = 102k (91% of SNE pace)<br />Miles = 110<br /><br /><br />The possible glimmer of light at the end of the tunnel:<br /><br />I reached the end of my rope Sunday playing & running like complete crap ($3k from bad/losing play, $3.5k more from all-ins below expectation, obv I did something evil to P.O. the poker gods). So I decided I needed to force myself to kick the testosterone up 3 notches and play SloppyAngry or not at all. I even watched a few Cardrunners videos to help psych myself up for a) no more short-stack weenieness, b) no more wimpy-wimpy-open-limpy, c) WAY more 3-jacking in position<br /><br />I guess I succeeded in ramping up the aggro...<br />Stats in PLO 6-max for 1/1-2/7: VPIP 22.2%, PFR = 3.0%, Agg factors 0.14/5.6/5.3/7.4<br />2/8-2/10: VPIP 18.4%, PFR = 10.0%, Agg = 1.1/8.1/6.5/5.7<br /><br />I can't say the transition to opening up the aggression pre-flop's and FIRE FIRE FIRING relentlessly with c-bets in position has gone 100% smoothly. I absolutely positively SPEWED chips most of Sunday, Monday, and this morning.<br /><br />But it has started to feel like maybe my brain has opened up a few cracks occasionally to let some light in. Like tonight as my robot hand was auto-reaching to rapid-click the pot button when checked to, I had radical 6-th level thoughts come to me like "hey, I could actually check behind sometimes in a 4-way raised pot with 7654 when it flops AKQ, can't I?")<br />I kid you not, I'm actually UP $200 (in Sklansky AND real money $s) over my last 4,000 hands<br /><br />Cute little illusion: This game rebuild is like Tiger rebuilding his swing after winning 10 majors to take it to the next level.<br />Reality: I'm more like the guy on The Biggest Loser who gets winded pumping his fist wilidly because he just dropped a monster 20 lbs to weigh in at 480.<br /><br />But you gotta walk before you run, and I think full-stack with aggro at least has some chance at getting me closer to at least break-even poker with this many tables. I also ramped down the # of tables from 15-18 to 10-14. This feels like it boosts my chances of playing a bit better. I'm falling behind SNE pace, but for now I'd rather focus on not bleeding my roll to death, I can add tables later if I get back to not losing 99/100 sessions.<br /><br />Actually I think maybe I have the formula for max tables I can manage without DeathMonkeySpew... 4 x # of coffees downed in last 2 hours.<br /><br />Amy back from Vegas any minute. My quick summary of her trip...<br />She & my sister where strong Coupon-Nits-in-training for +$80, supplemented by complete uber-nitty food bankroll management including, wait for it, a 2 for 1 buffet at the IP. Oh amylouwho, even a coupon nit has to set limits, so sad. She went 0 for 4 in donkaments with 1 bubble & 1 other final table out of money, but +$800 on cash games. Nice to see 1 Coskie doesn't suck.<br /><br />Check out this email she sent me...<br />"If only I were playing at the Orleans..<br />Got all my money in with middle set against overpair and top set-I lose. Turn quads- I win! River makes bigger quads- I lose. Would have been 80k bad beat jackpot at the Orleans. :-("Javahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12756069591699620095noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-666156379657382642.post-20985669256719123492009-02-05T19:26:00.000-05:002009-02-05T19:54:25.149-05:00Some good news (this is irony-free, I promise)Well I guess there are more of you reading than who show up as official registered blog followers, so I'm going to keep up the self-therapy via the <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_0">bloggydoo</span> for a bit longer anyway.<br /><br />I do hereby self-decree that whiny graphs & bad beat stories are verboten for a while, so from now on nothing but 100% pure think-<span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_1">HappyThoughts</span>-post-<span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_2">HappyThoughts</span> all day every day. (Which means if you see no updates for a while it's probably not because I'm crushing <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_3">Ivey</span> at the <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_4">Thunderdome</span> table.)<br /><br />On to the good news.<br />Not sure if any of you saw this alert from the <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_0"><span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_5">PPA</span></span> a few days ago..<br /><br />"Recently, State Representatives Brian P. Wallace, Martin J. Walsh proposed HR 3954, a bill that seeks to expand casino gambling in the Commonwealth of Massachusetts. This bill also includes a proposition that would make it a crime for you to play poker on the Internet (See: Section 18(j)(lines 1446-1453) Under this provision, online poker players will be subject to a maximum term of 2 years in the house of correction, a fine of $25,000, or both. Ironically, HR 3954 is pro-casino gambling legislation, yet it makes Internet gaming a crime. This is an unacceptable double-standard!"<br /><br />I called both Reps offices and had a good time ranting, not-too-artfully hammering out the phrases "stay-at-home Dad" and "hypocritical" at least 3 or 4 times each. No surprise probably, but I enjoy the occasional wallowing around in and spewing self-righteous indignation.<br /><br />Anyway, now the cool part... after being pounded with calls & emails, Rep. Wallace's office sent out this email yesterday:<br />"The section was <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_1"><span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_6">inadvertantly</span></span> added to the bill. I am going to move to strike the entire section about <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_2"><span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_7">internet</span></span> poker. Sorry for the confusion<br />Brian Wallace"<br /><br />Nice.<br />Rep who responds in a pro-<span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_8">gambool</span> way to phone beatings >>> Rep who can spell "<span class="blsp-spelling-corrected" id="SPELLING_ERROR_9">inadvertent</span>".<br />So now we can officially root <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_3">conflict-free</span> for the MA Casino gaming bill (you know, the one that Harper assures us will bring oodles of <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_4"><span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_10">VPIP</span></span> 80% tables, scantily-clad women bringing us Red Bull and free snacks, and the repeal of the <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_5"><span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_11">UIGEA</span></span>)<br /><br />A good day. :)<br />I even cracked triple digit miles today, ship the 100 mile tally<br />:)<br /><br /><span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_6"><span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_12">YTD</span></span> results before tonight's massive uptick:<br />Net Total with <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_7"><span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_13">FPP</span></span> value added = +$116 (hey, it starts with a "+", so it could be worse)<br /><span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_8"><span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_14">VPPs</span></span> 91k (92% of pace)Javahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12756069591699620095noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-666156379657382642.post-18808213205621665662009-02-01T22:55:00.000-05:002009-02-01T23:26:30.713-05:00Fresh start, Ship the new month, wheee....I am a freaking artist- check out Feb 1st EV graph...<br /><br /><a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg5KY-wb0WLwcrO3iUlqasXdkJJBjbmW4xtYHEqlJHC7KYA0JC06NoNle-1PFJZxcKnPNuEtgc77LOt_VJHjy1QC0zoRydV-6dsp1y1597Hg0dUkBuDz5Qh8rIc8p6uCoWbjLF6N2Vcfqc/s1600-h/09Feb01.jpg"><img style="margin: 0px auto 10px; display: block; text-align: center; cursor: pointer; width: 320px; height: 200px;" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg5KY-wb0WLwcrO3iUlqasXdkJJBjbmW4xtYHEqlJHC7KYA0JC06NoNle-1PFJZxcKnPNuEtgc77LOt_VJHjy1QC0zoRydV-6dsp1y1597Hg0dUkBuDz5Qh8rIc8p6uCoWbjLF6N2Vcfqc/s320/09Feb01.jpg" alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5298044600778940866" border="0" /></a><br /><br />Oh how I wish this was a joke. I'm pretty sure my ears were on fire during the last 2 all-ins that went less than happily. <br /><br />YTD running tally of Luck Box = $3,031.98 below expectation on all-ins. (The 98 cents is the part that really hurts.)<br /><br />Maybe I just need more cow bell?<br />Yeah. Obviously I need play my next session listening only to songs with cowbell. Never ran below expectation one time that I can remember when Don't Fear the Reaper was playing, so I think this is a good plan.<br /><br />Look for a strong update soon once I've made a solid Cowbell playlist. Assuming my head doesn't explode before then.Javahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12756069591699620095noreply@blogger.com0